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  • Chairperson's Corner
    Chairperson's Corner Anders reviews the results of a recent survey of PAF section ... Chairperson's Corner Anders reviews the results of a recent survey of PAF section members and discusses ...

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    • Authors: Anders Larson
    • Date: Aug 2018
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
  • Predictive Modeling Techniques Applied to Quantifying Mortality Risk
    Predictive Modeling Techniques Applied to Quantifying Mortality Risk Using the Cox proportional Hazards Model ... to improve underwriting debits and credits. Mortality risk;Longevity risk;Life expectancy;Life insurance ...

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    • Authors: Vincent Granieri
    • Date: Jul 2016
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Life Insurance>Underwriting - Life Insurance; Predictive Analytics
  • Maximal Information Coefficient: An Introduction to Informat
    phe- nomenon under investigation; 2. Adjusting mortality tables in a statistically valid manner to obtain ... simultaneously developing a table that is as close as possible to a given standard mortality table; 3. Smoothing ...

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    • Authors: Bryon Robidoux
    • Date: Jun 2017
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics
  • Actuarial Statistics with R: Book Review
    Actuarial Statistics with R: Book Review Reviewing a text covering multiple statistical modeling ... Asset Pricing Model;Generalized linear model;Mortality modeling;Predictive modeling;Stochastic models;Monte ...

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    • Authors: Mary Campbell
    • Date: Dec 2018
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Simulation; Predictive Analytics
  • Delphi Study In Real Time
    DECEMBER 2013 Delphi Study in Real Time—Life and Annuity Products and Product Development By Paula Hodges ... will see the largest amount of growth in the annuity space. With the aging of the current field force ...

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    • Authors: Paula Hodges
    • Date: Dec 2013
    • Competency: Leadership>Professional network leverage; Strategic Insight and Integration>Strategy development; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Annuities>Marketing and distribution - Annuities; Annuities>Product development - Annuities
  • How to Get Started in Predictive Analytics
    Actuaries” by Alan Mills. Alan put together a handy table listing common forecasting approaches in actuarial ... life insurance—have discrete u/w classes as opposed to more continuous u/w; • might want to classify ...

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    • Authors: Mary Campbell
    • Date: Dec 2015
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Predictive Analytics
  • Delphi Studies Past, Present and Future
    Futures Research Technique for Forecasting Selected U.S. Economic Variables and Determining Rationales for ... judgments about the long range (20 year) values of four U.S. economic variables: 1. Annual increase in the ...

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    • Authors: Ben Wolzenski
    • Date: Jan 2012
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Abstractions & Working Effectively Alongside Artificial Intelligence
    language (a language whose syntax consists of 0’s and 1’s). In software development, one can identify ... the formula for a European call on an underlying S with strike K in the generalized Black-Scholes5 ...

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    • Authors: Dodzi Attimu, Bryon Robidoux
    • Date: Dec 2016
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession>Best practices; Technology & Applications>Computer science; Technology & Applications>Software
  • A Math Test For Models
    difficult to use in a model. However, you might use a table that contains the coordinates of the center of these ... different equation types are provided in Table 1. Table 1 Ten Different Equation Types DECEMBER ...

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    • Authors: Jeff T Heaton
    • Date: Dec 2018
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Predictive Analytics
  • Using Hadoop and Spark for Distributed Predictive Modeling
    naïve Bayes, decision trees, k-mean, etc. (see Table 1). SparkNet, the all-star deep-learning algo- rithm ... responsible for frequency models and loss-cost models. Table 1: Comparisons of the machine learning algorithms ...

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    • Authors: Dihui Lai, Qichun Xu
    • Date: Jul 2016
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Predictive Analytics